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A Novel Three-Way Investment Decisions Based on Decision-Theoretic Rough Sets with Hesitant Fuzzy Information

机译:一种基于决策理论粗糙集的新型三方投资决策,具有犹豫不决的模糊信息

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摘要

As a classic model of three-way decisions, the decision-theoretic rough sets (DTRSs) have been adopted to help make profit-based investment decisions. However, there is epistemic uncertainty in the assessment of investment projects, hence the hesitant fuzzy sets (HFSs) are appropriate tool for characterizing the revenue functions and cost functions. To get a more reasonable result in the three-way investment decisions, we introduce HFSs to DTRSs and explore a new three-way investment decision model. Firstly, we take into account the revenue and cost of DTRSs with hesitant fuzzy elements and propose a hesitant fuzzy decision-theoretic rough sets (HFDTRSs) model. Then, we calculate the revenue functions and cost functions by aggregating hesitant fuzzy elements with the Bayesian decision procedure. Considering the differences in the personalities and attitudes of decision-makers, we propose optimistic strategy and pessimistic strategy to aggregate revenue functions and cost functions. Finally, based on the score of profit maximization, we make three-way investment decisions. A case study of coal investment was used to demonstrate the proposed methods.
机译:作为三通决策的经典模型,已采用决策 - 理论粗略集(DTRSS)来帮助提高基于利润的投资决策。然而,在投资项目的评估中存在认识的不确定性,因此犹豫不决的模糊套装(HFSS)是用于表征收入功能和成本职能的适当工具。为了在三方投资决策中获得更合理的结果,我们向DTRSS介绍了HFSS,并探索了一种新的三方投资决策模型。首先,我们考虑了具有犹豫不决的模糊元素的DTRS的收入和成本,并提出了一种犹豫的模糊决策 - 理论粗糙集(HFDTRS)模型。然后,我们通过与贝叶斯决策程序聚合犹豫不决的模糊元素来计算收入函数和成本函数。考虑到决策者的个性和态度的差异,我们提出了乐观的战略和悲观战略,以汇总收入职能和成本职能。最后,基于利润最大化的分数,我们进行三方投资决策。采用煤炭投资案例研究证明了所提出的方法。

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