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Factor decomposition of disaggregate inflation: the case of Greece

机译:分解通胀的因子分解:希腊的情况

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We use static and dynamic factor models to decompose Greek inflation into common components. Static factor analysis suggests the need to develop comprehensive underlying inflation measures for Greece. Dynamic factor analysis decomposes inflation into three components: pure inflation and relative price inflation both driven by aggregate shocks and, an idiosyncratic component reflecting sector specific shocks. We verify the idiosyncratic component as the main source of inflation variability while pure inflation and its associated shocks are dominant compared to relative inflation. Based on pure inflation correlations, the relative weight of anticipated monetary shocks is large only for the spread between the ten-year government bond yield and a three-month short run rate and only in times of monetary stability.
机译:我们使用静态和动态因子模型将希腊通货膨胀分解为共同组件。静态因子分析表明需要为希腊制定全面的潜在通胀措施。动态因子分析将通货膨胀分解为三个部件:纯化通胀和相对价格通胀,由聚合冲击驱动,反映了扇区特定冲击的特殊组成部分。我们验证了特殊的组成部分作为通胀变异性的主要来源,而纯通胀及其相关的冲击与相对通胀相比是显着的。基于纯通胀相关性,预期货币冲击的相对重量仅为十年政府债券收益率和三个月短的运行率之间的传播,只在货币稳定时。

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