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To What Extent, If Any, Is the U.S. Economy at Risk of Becoming 'Japanized'?

机译:如果有的话,如果有的话,美国经济有可能成为“日本”的风险?

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After the bursting of the Japanese real estate bubble in the 1990s, the ratio of Japanese sovereign debt to GDP soared as Japan initiated massive fiscal stimulus, including unprecedented spending for public investment in infrastructure. Surprisingly, government bond yields plummeted. In addition, both public and private institutions in Japan bought extraordinary amounts of JGBs (ten-year government bonds). As one analyst noted at the time, "For banks, insurance companies, and many other institutions including the Bank of Japan and working families themselves, their attics, basements, closets, and cabinets were stuffed with JGBs. The situation reached the point that an abrupt and sustained rise in interest rates from robust growth would have theoretically bankrupted Japan, Inc." The result led to what some analysts call Japan's "lost decades."
机译:在20世纪90年代日本房地产泡沫破灭后,日本主权债务与日本飙升的国内主权债务的比例发起了大规模的财政刺激,包括公共对基础设施的公共投资前所未有的支出。 令人惊讶的是,政府债券收益率暴跌。 此外,日本的公共和私营机构购买了非凡的JGB(十年政府债券)。 作为当时指出的一位分析师,“对于银行,保险公司以及许多其他机构,包括日本银行和工作家庭本身,他们的阁楼,地下室,壁橱和橱柜被jgbs塞满了。这种情况达到了一个 从强劲增长的利率突然和持续增长将在理论上破产日本公司“ 结果导致了一些分析师称之为日本的“失去数十年”。

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    《The International Economy》 |2021年第4期|44-64|共21页
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-19 03:07:00

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