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Current account and fiscal imbalances in the Eurozone: Siamese twins in an asymmetrical currency union

机译:欧元区经常账户和财政失衡:货币联盟不对称的连体双胞胎

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摘要

The paper aims at connecting fiscal and external imbalances in the Eurozone. After the shock of the 2007 financial crisis, the current account position was the root cause of discriminatory behavior of foreign lenders towards single countries. Once the interaction between the current account and fiscal imbalances started, the only way out to restore stability and stem capital outflows was to implement fiscal retrenchments and real devaluation. The choice governments of peripheral countries face is therefore, at least in the short run and in recessive conditions, either to restore the equilibrium to their public finance, or to counteract the real shocks coming from the crisis. This suggests to consider that the stability of the Eurozone could be realized at expenses of a lower output in peripheral countries.
机译:本文旨在联系欧元区的财政和外部失衡。在经历了2007年金融危机的冲击之后,经常账户状况是外国贷方对单一国家歧视行为的根本原因。一旦经常账户与财政失衡之间的相互作用开始,恢复稳定和阻止资本外流的唯一出路就是实施财政紧缩和实际贬值。因此,至少在短期和隐性条件下,外围国家政府面临的选择要么是恢复公共财政的平衡,要么是应对危机带来的真正冲击。这表明要考虑到欧元区的稳定可以以减少外围国家产出为代价来实现。

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