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Optimal order policies in assembly systems with random demand and random supplier delivery

机译:具有随机需求和随机供应商交货的装配系统中的最佳订单策略

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In this paper we consider an assembly problem where two critical components are required for assembly of the final product, the demand for which is stochastic. The components can be ordered separately from individual suppliers or in a set (a set refers to the components in the required ratio) from a joint supplier. We consider the case where the assembly stage is free, i.e., the firm procures and stores the components and sells complete sets. The supplier delivery process may be random owing to uncertainty in the production process (e.g., semiconductor industries). We assume that a supplier, with probability β (say), supplies 100% of the order quantity in the current period, and with probability (1 - β) supplies nothing. If there is no delivery during this period, the order is delivered in the next period. The added complexity of coordinating shipments of different components requires careful planning in placing the orders. In the single-period problem, if no order is placed with the joint supplier, the order quantities from the individual suppliers follows an order-up-to policy structure with identical order levels. However, it is optimal to diversify (i.e., order from the joint supplier as well) when the inventory level is below a certain threshold (determined in this paper). With lower initial inventory levels, the firm cannot risk the cost of stockouts if the individual supplier(s) fail to deliver in the current period. With certain conditions on the cost and delivery parameters of the suppliers, we show that the policy structure for the multi-period problem is similar to that of the single-period problem, except that the order up-to-levels are not the same. Intuitively, it might be optimal to order extra components for use in the future. This is a direct consequence of the uncertainty in the delivery timing of the suppliers. Finally we conduct a computational study of the two-period problem and determine the effect of supplier costs and the probability of delivery on the optimal order policy. The policies are intuitive and offer a better understanding of the effect of supply and demand uncertainty on the assembly problem.
机译:在本文中,我们考虑一个组装问题,在组装问题中,最终产品的组装需要两个关键组件,而需求是随机的。可以从单个供应商处单独订购组件,也可以从联合供应商处订购一组(一组指所需比例的组件)。我们考虑的情况是组装阶段是免费的,即公司采购并存储零件并出售成套产品。由于生产过程中的不确定性(例如,半导体行业),供应商的交付过程可能是随机的。我们假设一个供应商具有概率β(例如),提供了当期100%的订单数量,而概率为(1-β)则不提供任何东西。如果在此期间没有交货,则在下一个周期交货。协调不同组件的装运所增加的复杂性要求在下订单时进行周密的计划。在单周期问题中,如果未与联合供应商下任何订单,则来自单个供应商的订单数量将遵循具有相同订单级别的“按订单订购”策略结构。但是,当库存水平低于某个阈值(本文确定)时,最好进行多样化(即从联合供应商处订购)。初始存货水平较低时,如果单个供应商在当前期间无法交付商品,则公司将无法承担缺货成本的风险。在对供应商的成本和交货参数有一定条件的情况下,我们证明了多期问题的策略结构与单期问题的策略结构相似,不同之处在于上级订单不相同。直观地讲,订购额外的组件以备将来使用可能是最佳选择。这是供应商交货时间不确定的直接结果。最后,我们对两个周期的问题进行了计算研究,并确定了供应商成本和交货概率对最优订单策略的影响。这些策略是直观的,可以更好地理解供求不确定性对装配问题的影响。

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