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Estimation of FARIMA Parameters in the Case of Negative Memory and Stable Noise

机译:记忆力为负且噪声稳定时FARIMA参数的估计

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摘要

In this paper, we extend a method of estimation of parameters of the fractional autoregressive integrated moving average (FARIMA) process with stable noise to the case of negative memory parameter d. We construct an estimator that is a modification of that of Kokoszka and Taqqu and prove its consistency for -1/2 <; d <; 0. We show that the estimator is accurate and possesses a low variance for FARIMA time series with both light- and heavy-tailed noises. It is illustrated by means of Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, we compare the introduced method of estimation of d with classical methods like the R/S, modified R/S and variance. The results show that the proposed estimator is vastly superior to them.
机译:在本文中,我们将具有稳定噪声的分数自回归积分移动平均(FARIMA)过程的参数估计方法扩展到负记忆参数d的情况。我们构造了一个估计器,该估计器是对Kokoszka和Taqqu的估计的修改,并证明了-1/2 <;的一致性。 d <; 0.我们证明了估计器是准确的,并且对于带有轻度和重度尾部噪声的FARIMA时间序列均具有较低的方差。通过蒙特卡洛模拟对此进行了说明。最后,我们将引入的d估计方法与经典方法(例如R / S,修改后的R / S和方差)进行比较。结果表明,所提出的估计量大大优于它们。

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