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Bias-aware data assimilation in integrated hydrological modelling

机译:综合水文模型中的偏差感知数据同化

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One of the major challenges in hydrological data assimilation applications is the presence of bias in both models and observations. The present study uses the ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) method and an observational bias estimation technique to estimate groundwater hydraulic heads. The study was carried out in a relatively complex, groundwater dominated, catchment in Denmark using the MIKE SHE model code. The method is implemented and evaluated using synthetic data and subsequently tested against real observations. The results from the synthetic experiments show that the bias-aware filter outperforms the standard filter, with improved state estimate and correct bias estimate. The assimilation using real observations further demonstrates the robustness of bias-aware ETKF, and the potential improvements using integrated hydrological modelling. Furthermore, the experiments with assimilating over different depths show that the state estimates depend on correlation across layers.
机译:水文数据同化应用中的主要挑战之一是模型和观测值都存在偏差。本研究使用集成变换卡尔曼滤波(ETKF)方法和观测偏差估计技术来估计地下水水头。该研究使用MIKE SHE模型代码在丹麦一个相对复杂,以地下水为主的流域进行。该方法使用综合数据进行实施和评估,然后针对实际观察结果进行测试。综合实验的结果表明,偏置感知滤波器的性能优于标准滤波器,具有改进的状态估计和正确的偏置估计。使用真实观测值进行的同化进一步证明了具有偏差意识的ETKF的鲁棒性,以及使用综合水文建模的潜在改进。此外,对不同深度进行同化的实验表明,状态估计值取决于各层之间的相关性。

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