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Outlook on the Future of Hydro Development Worldwide

机译:全球水电发展的未来展望

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摘要

Each year, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) develops an outlook for the international energy markets, including electricity. The International Energy Outlook 2010 projects markets through 2035. As part of its assessment of these markets, EIA analyzes policies and incentives intended to support generation sources, including hydropower. This article will provide an understanding of the potential future of hydro generation worldwide and how current policies can affect utilization ofthis valuable resource. World overview IEO2010 predicts that world net electricity generation will increase by an average of 2.3% per year from 2007 to 2035 (see Figure 1 on page 18). By comparison, net electricity generation grew 1.9% per year from 1990 to 2007. In general, projected generation growth in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries, with well-established electricity markets and mature consumption patterns, is slower than in non-OECD countries, where significant demand is unmet (see Figure 2 on page 18). Electrification of off-grid areas plays a strong role in projected growth trends. In fact, the International Energy Agency estimates that 22% of the world's population did not have access to electricity in 2008.1
机译:每年,美国能源信息署(EIA)都会对包括电在内的国际能源市场进行展望。 《 2010年国际能源展望》预测了到2035年的市场。作为对这些市场的评估的一部分,EIA分析了旨在支持包括水电在内的发电来源的政策和激励措施。本文将提供对全球水力发电的潜在未来以及当前政策如何影响这种宝贵资源的利用的理解。世界概况IEO2010预测,从2007年到2035年,世界净发电量将平均每年增加2.3%(请参阅第18页的图1)。相比之下,从1990年到2007年,净发电量以每年1.9%的速度增长。总体而言,经济合作与发展组织国家,拥有完善的电力市场和成熟的消费模式的预计发电量增长要慢于非发电量国家。未满足大量需求的OECD国家(请参阅第18页的图2)。离网地区的电气化在预计的增长趋势中发挥着重要作用。实际上,国际能源署(International Energy Agency)估计,2008年全球22%的人口无法用电。1

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