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Does Gold Act as a Hedge or a Safe Haven against Equity and Currency in Asia?

机译:黄金是否可以作为亚洲股票和货币的对冲或避风港?

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In recent years, uncertainty in financial markets has stimulated the need to explore alternative avenues for safeguarding wealth and managing risk. In this strand of research, gold has been particularly important due to its potential to mitigate risk and preserve wealth. This study investigates gold behaviour against equities and currencies in three regions across Asia. We follow Engle’s (2002) dynamic conditional correlation-multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (DCC-MGARCH) model to test the gold link with equity and currency markets. We use a weekly series of exchange rate (national currency/the US dollar), equity and gold prices in national currency over the weekly period, 1995–2013. The sample consists of 12 countries covering East Asia, South Asia and Southeast Asia. Findings suggest that gold is just a diversifier against stocks in the Asian economies except in Korea, Singapore and Thailand. However, gold acts as a hedge and safe haven against Asian currencies—except China and Hong Kong—thus still preserving its monetary role.
机译:近年来,金融市场的不确定性促使人们需要探索其他途径来保护财富和管理风险。在这一研究领域中,黄金由于其降低风险和保存财富的潜力而特别重要。这项研究调查了亚洲三个地区针对股票和货币的黄金行为。我们采用Engle(2002)的动态条件相关-多元广义自回归条件异方差(DCC-MGARCH)模型来测试与股票和货币市场之间的黄金联系。我们使用1995-2013年每周期间的每周汇率(本国货币/美元),股票和以本国货币表示的黄金价格。样本包括12个国家,涵盖东亚,南亚和东南亚。研究结果表明,除了韩国,新加坡和泰国以外,黄金只是亚洲经济体股票的一种分散产品。但是,黄金作为对亚洲货币(中国和香港除外)的避险和避风港,因此仍保持其货币作用。

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