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Bias correction of global and regional simulated daily precipitation and surface mean temperature over Southeast Asia using quantile mapping method

机译:分位数映射方法对东南亚全球和区域模拟日降水量和地表平均温度的偏差校正

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A trend preserving quantile mapping (QM) method was applied to adjust the biases of the global and regional climate models (GCM and RCMs) simulated daily precipitation and surface mean temperature over Southeast Asia regions based on APHRODITE dataset. Output from four different RCMs as well as their driving GCM in CORDEX-EA archive were corrected to examine the added value of RCMs dynamical downscaling in the context of bias adjustment. The result shows that the RCM biases are comparable to that of the GCM biases. In some instances, RCMs amplified the GCM biases. Generally, QM method substantially improves the biases for both precipitation and temperature. However, the bias adjustment method works better for surface mean temperature and less so for daily precipitation. The large inter-models variability is reduced remarkably after bias adjustment. Overall, study indicates no strong evident that RCMs downscaling as an immediate step before bias correction provides additional improvement to the sub-regional climate compared to the correction directly carried out on their forcing GCM. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:应用趋势保留分位数映射(QM)方法调整全球和区域气候模型(GCM和RCM)的偏差,该模型基于APHRODITE数据集模拟了东南亚地区的日降水量和地表平均温度。校正了来自四个不同RCM的输出及其在CORDEX-EA档案中的驱动GCM,以检查在偏差调整的情况下RCM动态降级的附加值。结果表明,RCM偏差与GCM偏差相当。在某些情况下,RCM放大了GCM偏差。通常,QM方法可显着改善降水和温度的偏差。但是,偏差调整方法对于地表平均温度效果更好,而对于日降水量则效果更差。偏差调整后,模型间的较大变异性显着降低。总体而言,研究表明,与直接对其强迫GCM进行校正相比,RCM降级作为偏差校正之前的直接步骤没有提供明显的证据,可以进一步改善次区域气候。 (C)2016 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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