Recurrent landsliding of a high bank at Dunaszekcso, Hungary: Geodetic deformation monitoring and finite element modeling

摘要

Five years of geodetic monitoring data at Dunaszekcso, Hungary, are processed to evaluate recurrent landsliding, which is a characteristic geomorphological process affecting the high banks of the Middle Danube valley in Hungary. The integrated geodetic observations provide accurate three dimensional coordinate time series, and these data are used to calculate the kinematic features of point movements and the rigid body behavior of point blocks. Additional datasets include borehole tiltmeter data and hydrological recordings of the Danube and soil water wells. These data, together with two dimensional final element analyses, are utilized to gain a better understanding of the physical, soil mechanical background and stability features of the high bank. Here we indicate that the main trigger of movements is changing groundwater levels, whose effect isanorderof magnitude higher than that of river water level changes. Varying displacement rates of the sliding blocks are interpreted as having been caused by basal pore water pressure changes originating from shear zone volume changes, floods of the River Danube through later seepage and rain infiltration. Both data and modeling point to the complex nature of bank sliding at Dunaszekcso. Some features imply that the movements are rotational, some reveal slumping. By contrast, all available observational and modeling data point to the retrogressive development of the high bank at Dunaszekcsd. Regarding mitigation, the detailed analysis of three basic parameters (the direction of displacement vectors, tilting, and the acceleration component of the kinematic function) is suggested because these parameters indicate the zone where the largest lateral displacements can be expected and point to the advent of the rapid landsliding phase that affects high banks along the River Danube.