首页> 外文期刊>Geographical analysis >A Discrete-time Dynamic Analysis of Interregional Population Systems
【24h】

A Discrete-time Dynamic Analysis of Interregional Population Systems

机译:区域间人口系统的离散时间动态分析

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           

摘要

This paper uses a system of simultaneous linear difference equations to explain how various dynamic properties of a closed interregional population system are determined by (1) the system's fixed natural growth and migration structure and (2) the initial population distribution. A matrix containing natural growth rates and interregional migration rates is defined as a structural matrix. Based upon structural matrices, interregional population systems are classified into (1) ZPG, (2) Malthusian, (3) mixed, and (4) vanishing systems. The analysis is accomplished by using the Z-transform method, which can be translated into an efficient computer algorithm. For any closed interregional population system with a fixed structural matrix, it is found that the existence and stability of an equilibrium distribution, the long-run proportional distribution, the long-run growth rate, and the location of the “dominant region” are all independent of the initial population size and distribution but are completely determined by the largest eigenvalue and the associated eigenvector of the system's structural matrix. However, the actual population sizes at equilibrium, the saturation and doubling times, and the fluctuations of the system's time paths depend both on the structural matrix and on the initial population size and/or distribution. Analogous to the mean and standard deviation in descriptive statistics, the eigenvalues and eigenvectors extracted from the structural matrix are useful summarizing indices in linear dynamic systems.
机译:本文使用联立线性差分方程组系统来解释封闭区域间人口系统的各种动态特性如何由(1)系统的固定自然增长和迁移结构以及(2)初始人口分布确定。包含自然增长率和区域间迁移率的矩阵被定义为结构矩阵。基于结构矩阵,区域间的人口系统分为(1)ZPG,(2)马尔萨斯,(3)混合和(4)消失系统。通过使用Z变换方法可以完成分析,该方法可以转换为有效的计算机算法。对于任何具有固定结构矩阵的封闭区域间人口系统,发现均衡分布的存在和稳定性,长期比例分布,长期增长率以及“主导区域”的位置都是与初始种群大小和分布无关,但完全由系统结构矩阵的最大特征值和相关特征向量决定。但是,处于平衡状态,饱和时间和倍增时间以及系统时间路径的波动时的实际人口规模取决于结构矩阵以及初始人口规模和/或分布。类似于描述统计中的均值和标准差,从结构矩阵提取的特征值和特征向量可用于总结线性动力系统中的指标。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号