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Going with the Nokkie, in times of good & bad

机译:在好事与坏时与Nokkie同行

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摘要

Commodity currencies - Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar, Norwegian krona, Brazilian real and Mexican peso - tend to rally during periods of improved risk appetite associated with rising equity markets and decline during eroding market confidence and stock market declines. But which currency has shown robust gains during risk appetite and relatively modest declines in time of market panic? The answer is the Norwegian krona, or the Nokkie. Before discussing the Nokkie's performance, let's look at Norway's underlying fundamentals. The nation's oil and gas sector makes up about 25% of the overall economy, and more than 50% of total exports. Strong energy earnings have given Norway the fifth largest current account position in international trade, behind China, Japan, Germany and Russia. Current account balance strength is always a plus in currency economics, allowing a currency to better absorb losses during global risk aversion and rebound faster during recoveries.
机译:商品货币-加元,澳元,新西兰元,挪威克朗,巴西雷亚尔和墨西哥比索-在与股市上升相关的风险偏好增强期间以及在市场信心下降和股市下跌期间下降的趋势中倾向于反弹。但是,哪种货币在风险偏好期间表现出强劲的涨势,而在市场恐慌时期则表现出相对温和的下跌?答案是挪威克朗或Nokkie。在讨论Nokkie的表现之前,让我们看一下挪威的基本面。该国的石油和天然气部门约占整体经济的25%,占总出口的50%以上。强劲的能源收益使挪威在国际贸易中的经常帐帐户排名第五,仅次于中国,日本,德国和俄罗斯。经常账户平衡强度始终是货币经济学的优势,这使货币能够在全球避险情绪中更好地吸收损失,并在复苏期间更快地反弹。

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  • 来源
    《Futures》 |2011年第11期|p.16|共1页
  • 作者

    ASHRAF LAIDI;

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