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Multi-attribute fuzzy time series method based on fuzzy clustering

机译:基于模糊聚类的多属性模糊时间序列方法

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摘要

Traditional time series methods can predict the seasonal problem, but fail to forecast the problems with linguistic value. An alternative forecasting method such as fuzzy time series is utilized to deal with these kinds of problems. Two shortcomings of the existing fuzzy time series forecasting methods are that they lack persuasiveness in determining universe of discourse and the length of intervals, and that they lack objective method for multiple-attribute fuzzy time series. This paper introduces a novel multiple-attribute fuzzy time series method based on fuzzy clustering. The methods of fuzzy clustering are integrated in the processes of fuzzy time series to partition datasets objectively and enable processing of multiple attributes. For Verification, this paper uses two datasets: (1) the yearly data on enrollments at the University of Alabama, and (2) the Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX) futures. The forecasting results show that the proposed method can forecast not only one-attribute but also multiple-attribute data effectively and outperform the listing methods.
机译:传统的时间序列方法可以预测季节问题,但无法预测具有语言价值的问题。利用替代的预测方法(例如模糊时间序列)来处理此类问题。现有的模糊时间序列预测方法的两个缺点是,它们缺乏确定性和确定区间长度的说服力,缺乏针对多属性模糊时间序列的客观方法。介绍了一种基于模糊聚类的多属性模糊时间序列方法。模糊聚类方法被集成到模糊时间序列的过程中,以客观地划分数据集并实现对多个属性的处理。为了进行验证,本文使用两个数据集:(1)阿拉巴马大学的年度入学数据,以及(2)台湾证券交易所资本加权股票指数(TAIEX)期货。预测结果表明,所提出的方法不仅可以有效地预测一个属性,而且可以有效地预测多个属性的数据,并且优于列表方法。

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