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Bus accident severity and passenger injury: evidence from Denmark

机译:公交车事故严重程度和乘客伤害:丹麦的证据

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摘要

Purpose Bus safety is a concern not only in developing countries, but also in the U.S. and Europe. In Denmark, disentangling risk factors that are positively or negatively related to bus accident severity and injury occurrence to bus passengers can contribute to promote safety as an essential principle of sustainable transit and advance the vision “every accident is one too many”. Methods Bus accident data were retrieved from the national accident database for the period 2002–2011. A generalized ordered logit model allows analyzing bus accident severity and a logistic regression enables examining occurrence of injury to bus passengers. Results Bus accident severity is positively related to (i) the involvement of vulnerable road users, (ii) high speed limits, (iii) night hours, (iv) elderly drivers of the third party involved, and (v) bus drivers and other drivers crossing in yellow or red light. Occurrence of injury to bus passengers is positively related to (i) the involvement of heavy vehicles, (ii) crossing intersections in yellow or red light, (iii) open areas, (iv) high speed limits, and (v) slippery road surface. Conclusions The findings of the current study provide a comprehensive picture of the bus safety situation in Denmark and suggest the necessity of further research into bus drivers’ attitudes and perceptions of risks and road users’ perceptions of bus operations. Moreover, these findings suggest the need for further training into bus drivers’ hazard recognition skills and infrastructural solutions to forgive possible driving errors.
机译:目的不仅在发展中国家,而且在美国和欧洲,总线安全都是一个问题。在丹麦,与公交车事故严重程度和公交车乘客伤亡有正相关或负相关的风险因素,可以促进将安全作为可持续交通的一项基本原则,并提出“每次事故太多”的愿景。方法从2002-2011年的国家事故数据库中检索公共汽车事故数据。通用的有序logit模型可以分析公共汽车事故的严重程度,而logistic回归可以检查公共汽车乘客受伤的发生。结果公交车事故的严重程度与(i)弱势道路使用者的参与,(ii)高速限制,(iii)夜间,(iv)所涉第三方的老年驾驶员以及(v)公交车驾驶员和其他人成正相关司机在黄灯或红灯处过境。公共汽车乘客受伤的发生与(i)重型车辆的介入,(ii)在黄灯或红灯下穿越交叉路口,(iii)空旷地区,(iv)高速限制和(v)湿滑的路面成正相关。结论当前研究的结果提供了丹麦公交安全状况的全面情况,并表明有必要进一步研究公交驾驶员的态度和风险感知以及道路使用者对公交运营的感知。此外,这些发现表明,有必要进一步培训公交车司机的危险识别技能和基础设施解决方案,以消除可能的驾驶错误。

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