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Effects of time-inconsistent preferences on information technology infrastructure investments with growth options

机译:时间不一致的偏好对具有增长选项的信息技术基础设施投资的影响

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Increasing information technology (IT) infrastructure spending and the capability of such projects to provide a platform for a firm to realize value from IT marks their importance. Effective management of IT infrastructure investments includes identification of embedded growth options in the infrastructure, and exercising them in a timely manner. Extant research has recognized that while managers could use real options thinking in IT investment management, managerial bias could affect the timing of option exercise and their realized value. We analyze the effect of time-inconsistent preferences of present-biased managers on the exercise time of real growth options and the realized value using a discrete time option valuation model. The results show that present-biased managers are more likely to exercise options early when the net payoffs are low, the option payoffs have high volatility, and the risk free discount rate is small. In addition, present biased managers are more likely to exercise a growth option early in its life when the project is performing well. We provide implications for practice and IT governance.
机译:越来越多的信息技术(IT)基础设施支出以及此类项目为企业提供从IT实现价值的平台的能力,标志着它们的重要性。对IT基础架构投资的有效管理包括确定基础架构中嵌入的增长选项,并及时进行运用。现有的研究已经认识到,尽管管理人员可以在IT投资管理中使用实际的期权思维,但是管理偏差可能会影响期权行使的时间及其实现的价值。我们使用离散时间期权估值模型分析了当前偏向型经理的时间不一致偏好对实际增长期权的行使时间和实现价值的影响。结果表明,当净收益低,期权收益具有高波动性且无风险折现率较小时,当前偏向的经理更有可能提前行使期权。此外,当项目表现良好时,目前有偏见的管理人员更有可能在其生命周期的早期阶段执行增长方案。我们为实践和IT治理提供了启示。

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