Estimating Emissions and Environmental Fate of Di-(2-ethylhexyl) Phthalate in Yangtze River Delta, China: Application of Inverse Modeling

摘要

A georeferenced multimedia model was developed for evaluating the emissions and environmental fate of di-2-ethylhexyl phthalate (DEHP) in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), China. Due to the lack of emission inventories, the emission rates were estimated using the observed concentrations in soil as inputs for the multimedia model solved analytically in an inverse manner. The estimated emission rates were then used to evaluate the environmental fate of DEHP with the regular multimedia modeling approach. The predicted concentrations in air, surface water, and sediment were all consistent with the ranges and spatial variations of observed data. The total emission rate of DEHP in YRD was 13.9 thousand t/year (95% confidence interval: 9.4-23.6), of which urban and rural sources accounted for 47% and 53%, respectively. Soil in rural areas and sediment stored 79% and 13% of the total mass, respectively. The air received 61% of the total emissions of DEHP but was only associated with 0.2% of the total mass due to fast degradation and intensive deposition. We suggest the use of an inverse modeling approach under a tiered risk assessment framework to assist future development and refinement of DEHP emission inventories.