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摘要

Modern Earth Sciences are unimaginable without models. Scientists build deterministic models for almost everything, but seldom explicitly address the connected uncertainty. Due to computational constraints, individual Earth models cannot be run for all possibilities or scenarios. In his book Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences, Jef Caers advocates to broaden the understanding of uncertainty and "build directly a model of uncertainty for practical decision purposes". Thereby, he solely focuses on the Earth aspects of uncertainty.