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The economic performance of industrial and commercial rooftop photovoltaic in China

机译:中国工商业屋顶光伏的经济表现

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摘要

Due to its characteristics of nearby power generation, grid-connection, conversion and use, rooftop photovoltaic power generation has formed the advantages of less investment, flexible, efficient and environmental protection, with broad prospects for development. Therefore, studying its economic performance is of great significance to investment decision and policy improvement. Under the current technical cost and policy conditions of rooftop photovoltaic in China, this paper constructs a cost-benefit analysis model considering the impact of inflation on cash flow. The results show that: For small rooftop photovoltaic in China, first of all, under the existing subsidy price and cost, its investment payback period is short and the risk is low. Secondly, the average internal rate of return is more than 10%, and the levelized cost of electricity is 0.2727-0.5573CNY/kWh, so the economic performance is good. Then, although the subsidy price has been lowered twice in a row in 2018, its economic performance is still relatively good. Finally, in the economic performance analysis of rooftop photovoltaic, besides the influence of power generation capacity, loan interest rate, construction cost and other factors, the time value of capital and inflation are also factors that cannot be ignored. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:屋顶光伏发电由于具有附近发电,并网,转换和使用的特点,已形成投资少,灵活,高效,环保的优点,具有广阔的发展前景。因此,研究其经济绩效对投资决策和政策改善具有重要意义。在当前我国屋顶光伏技术成本和政策条件下,考虑通货膨胀对现金流的影响,本文构建了成本效益分析模型。结果表明:首先,对于中国的小型屋顶光伏而言,在现有补贴价格和成本的情况下,其投资回收期短,风险低。其次,内部平均收益率超过10%,平均电费为0.2727-0.5573CNY / kWh,经济效益良好。然后,尽管补贴价格在2018年连续两次下调,但其经济表现仍然相对良好。最后,在屋顶光伏的经济性能分析中,除了发电量,贷款利率,建设成本等因素的影响外,资本时间价值和通货膨胀也是不可忽视的因素。 (C)2019 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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