The energy forecast research on inner Mongolia based on Gary system and co integration analysis

摘要

In this paper we have the analysis on the changes of energy sources' price in inner Mongolia based on the method of Granger causality test, and confirm the final impact factors with the use of actual data, proceed to the next step, conduct the energy demand forecast to the inner Mongolia region based on the method of grey system GM(1,1), modify the result with the impact factors and GM(1,5) model, then have a comparison and evolution to it. The research consequence provides a conclusion which is worth for take example to the future energy forecast in inner Mongolia.