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Electricity consumption and economic growth in Burkina Faso: A cointegration analysis

机译:布基纳法索的电力消费与经济增长:协整分析

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This study empirically establishes the direction of causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in Burkina Faso for the period 1968-2003. The bounds test yields evidence of cointegration between electricity consumption, GDP, and capital formation when electricity consumption and GDP are used as dependent variable. Causality results indicate that there is no significant causal relationship between electricity consumption and investment. Estimates, however, detect in the long-run a bidirectional causal relationship between electricity use and real GDP. There is also evidence of a positive feedback causal relationship between GDP and capital formation. Burkina Faso is therefore an energy dependent country. It is also a country in which electricity consumption is growing with the level of income. All of this shows that electricity is a significant factor in socio-economic development in Burkina Faso; as such, energy policy must be implemented to ensure that electricity generates fewer potential negative impacts.
机译:该研究根据经验确定了布基纳法索在1968年至2003年期间电力消耗与经济增长之间因果关系的方向。当用电量和GDP作为因变量时,边界检验产生了电量,GDP和资本形成之间协整的证据。因果关系结果表明,用电量与投资之间没有显着的因果关系。但是,从长远来看,估计可以发现用电量与实际GDP之间的双向因果关系。也有证据表明GDP与资本形成之间存在正反馈因果关系。因此,布基纳法索是一个能源依赖型国家。这也是一个电力消费随收入水平增长的国家。所有这些表明,电力是布基纳法索社会经济发展的重要因素。因此,必须执行能源政策以确保电力产生的潜在负面影响更少。

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