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Green growth planning: A multi-factor energy input-output analysis of the Canadian economy

机译:绿色增长计划:加拿大经济的多因素能源投入产出分析

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Incorporating socioeconomic and environmental considerations into energy decisions is necessary when tackling climate change and accelerating green growth. In this work, we propose a novel extension of the multi-factor energy input-output model to support evidence-informed energy policy-making and green growth planning through the introduction of eight different multipliers and two green growth indexes. We demonstrate the approach through application at the national scale in Canada. In particular, we quantitatively assess the extent to which changes in final demand impact the domestic and imported primary (and renewable) energy flows, CO2 emissions, economic expansion, and energy job earnings. The results point to a potential path of green growth in Canada, prioritizing activities that generate economic and job growth at minimal environmental pressure (i.e., fewer CO2 emissions). Economic activities that are critical for stimulating green growth in the short to medium run are identified, and recommendations are made regarding a longer structural change path for improving the supply chains of other economic activities. This work provides insights to decision-makers seeking strategies (e.g., policy reforms or targeted public expenditure strategies) to accelerate green growth planning on a national scale. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:解决气候变化和加速绿色增长时,必须将社会经济和环境因素纳入能源决策。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种新颖的多因素能源投入产出模型的扩展,通过引入八个不同的乘数和两个绿色增长指标来支持有据可依的能源政策制定和绿色增长计划。我们通过在加拿大全国范围内的应用展示了该方法。特别是,我们定量评估最终需求变化对国内和进口一次(和可再生)能源流量,CO2排放,经济扩张和能源工作收入的影响程度。结果指出了加拿大绿色增长的潜在途径,将在最小环境压力(即更少的二氧化碳排放量)下产生经济和就业增长的活动列为优先事项。确定了对短期到中期刺激绿色增长至关重要的经济活动,并提出了关于更长的结构变化路径的建议,以改善其他经济活动的供应链。这项工作为寻求战略(例如政策改革或有针对性的公共支出战略)的决策者提供了见识,以加快在全国范围内的绿色增长计划。 (C)2018 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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