Study on the multivariate prediction model and exposure level of indoor and outdoor particulate concentration in severe cold region of China

摘要

Atmospheric particulate matter( PM10, PM2.5) has been the main pollutant in most cities of China in recent years, and the exposure concentration is related to the incidence of human diseases and mortality. The time spent indoors is more than 80% for modern people. Therefore, study on the correlation and exposure level of indoor and outdoor atmospheric particles is important. To research the exposure level in the heating season and non-heating season of indoor and outdoor particulate concentration in severe cold region of China, a total of 110 samples of four types of buildings (office, classroom, urban residence and rural residence) in Daqing, a typical city of severe cold region in China, were tested by particle monitor. Based on the indoor and outdoor environmental parameters, multiple linear regression (MLR) and principal component regression (PCR), established the indoor particulate concentration prediction models. The short and long term exposure of different people in different environments in severe cold region of China was analyzed based on the people's time-activity pattern with the measured data and model. The results showed that as for the short term indoor and outdoor exposure of different people, the average combined exposure of urban people in heating season is 60.0% higher than that in non-heating season, and rural people in heating season 30.2% higher than that in non-heating season. As for the long term indoor and outdoor exposure of different people, the annual average combined exposure of urban people was 9.6% higher than that of rural people. While all for urban and rural people, differences in respiratory rates between genders resulted in an average potential dose of 21. 8% higher in male than in female.