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Will the shaky equilibrium hold?

机译:不稳定的平衡会成立吗?

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With a general election on June 7th, Lebanese passions are running high. Brazen posters festoon every public space, coding party fiefs by colour: blue for the party of the Future, orange for the party of Change and yellow for Hizbullah, the party of God, alongside a dozen other hues. Noisy rhetoric reverberates in street brawls and kitchen squabbles.rnLebanon is not just another small, combustible Mediterranean country of 4m people. It has a most unusual form of democracy, based on quotas for each of the 16 recognised sects in its 128-strong parliament. This mix of minorities, confused by divisions within sects and ever-shifting alliances inside and between them, has a tendency to explode, as it did during Lebanon's gruelling civil war in 1975-90. The country is also a cockpit for wider struggles. With outsiders such as Iran, America, Syria and Saudi Arabia throwing their weight behind competing factions, the electoral outcome will inevitably be seen as a test of their relative strengths.
机译:随着6月7日的大选,黎巴嫩人的热情高涨。粗俗的海报在每个公共场所装饰着花彩,用不同的颜色编码聚会的内容:蓝色代表未来的聚会,橙色代表变革的聚会,黄色代表真主党(真主党),以及其他十二种色调。嘈杂的言辞在街头斗殴和厨房争吵中回荡。rn黎巴嫩不仅仅是另一个拥有400万人口的可燃地中海小国。它拥有最不寻常的民主形式,根据其128个强大议会中16个公认教派的配额。这种少数群体的混合,由于宗派内部的分裂以及内部和它们之间不断变化的联盟的混淆,有爆炸的趋势,就像在1975-90年黎巴嫩的残酷内战期间那样。该国还是进行广泛斗争的座舱。随着伊朗,美国,叙利亚和沙特阿拉伯等局外人在竞争派系后面施加重担,选举结果将不可避免地被视为对其相对实力的考验。

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    《The economist》 |2009年第8633期|59-60|共2页
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 23:30:56

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