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Catching the gold bug

机译:抓金虫

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IMAGINE YOU have an assignation in New York. You have not been told where you should meet the other person and she has not been told where to meet you. You have no understanding of where to find her or where she might usually be found. She is as ignorant of you. You cannot communicate. You must somehow guess how to find each other and make those guesses coincide. Where should you go? And at what time of day? A good answer is Grand Central Station at noon. That was the response of the majority asked by Thomas Schelling, a game theorist and Nobel prizewinner in economics, in experiments reported "The Strategy of Conflict", published in 1960. People are often able to act tacitly in concert if they know that others are trying to do the same, said Schelling. Most situations throw up a clue, a "focal point", around which to co-ordinate, even if it takes imagination as much as logic to find it.
机译:想象您在纽约有一个作业。您没有被告知您应该在哪里认识另一个人,也没有告诉她在哪里可以见到您。您不了解在哪里找到她或通常在哪里可以找到她。她对你一无所知。您无法交流。您必须以某种方式猜测如何找到彼此并使这些猜测一致。你应该去哪里?在一天中的什么时间?一个好的答案是中午的中央车站。这是游戏理论家和诺贝尔经济学奖获得者托马斯·谢林(Thomas Schelling)提出的大多数人的回应,他在1960年发表的实验报告《冲突的策略》中。人们通常能够默契地采取一致行动,如果他们知道谢林说,其他人也试图这样做。多数情况下,即使要花大量的想象力和逻辑才能找到线索,也要围绕该线索进行协调。

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    《The economist》 |2019年第9130期|58-58|共1页
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-18 04:12:26

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