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A monotone model of intertemporal choice

机译:跨期选择的单调模型

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Existing models of intertemporal choice such as discounted utility (also known as constant or exponential discounting), quasi-hyperbolic discounting and generalized hyperbolic discounting are not monotone: A decision maker with a concave utility function generally prefers receiving $1 m today plus $1 m tomorrow over receiving $2m today. This paper proposes a new model of intertemporal choice. In this model, a decision maker cannot increase his/her satisfaction when a larger payoff is split into two smaller payoffs, one of which is slightly delayed in time. The model can rationalize several behavioral regularities such as a greater impatience for immediate outcomes. An application of the model to intertemporal consumption/saving reveals that consumers may exhibit dynamic inconsistency. Initially, they commit to saving for future consumption, but, as time passes, they prefer to renegotiate such a contract for an advance payment. Behavioral characterization (axiomatization) of the model is presented. The model allows for intertemporal wealth, complementarity and substitution effects (utility is not separable across time periods).
机译:现有的跨期选择模型,例如贴现效用(也称为常数贴现或指数贴现),拟双曲线贴现和广义双曲线贴现不是单调的:具有凹效用函数的决策者通常宁愿今天获得100万美元,而明天获得100万美元。今天收到200万美元。本文提出了一种新的跨期选择模型。在此模型中,决策者无法将较大的收益分成两个较小的收益,其中一个在时间上稍有延迟,从而无法提高其满意度。该模型可以合理化一些行为规律,例如对即时结果的更大不耐烦。该模型在跨期消费/储蓄中的应用表明,消费者可能表现出动态不一致。最初,他们承诺为将来的消费进行储蓄,但是随着时间的流逝,他们倾向于重新协商此类预付款合同。提出了模型的行为特征(公理化)。该模型考虑了跨期财富,互补性和替代效应(效用在各个时间段中是不可分离的)。

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