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Forecast in Detail

机译:详细预测

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The Government has continued to make good progress in the early stages of its austerity programme. December's figure of £13.7bn for PSNBX (Public Sector Net Borrowing excluding financial interventions) was £2.2bn lower than in the same month of the previous financial year. This took borrowing over the financial year to date to £103.3bn, some £11.3bn lower than at this point last year. Some of the undershoot is accounted for by the higher VAT rate, and this will cease to flatter the year-on-year comparisons from January, but even allowing for this, the Government looks set to achieve the Office for Budget Responsibility's (OBR's) full year forecast of £127bn.
机译:政府在紧缩方案的早期阶段继续取得良好进展。 12月份PSNBX(公共部门净借款,不包括金融干预措施)为137亿英镑,比上一个财政年度的同月减少22亿英镑。迄今为止,本财政年度的借款总额为1033亿英镑,比去年同期减少了113亿英镑。某些不足之处是由较高的增值税率造成的,从1月份开始,这将不再使同比的比较平坦,但是即使允许这一点,政府也有望实现预算责任办公室(OBR)的全面全年预测为1,270亿英镑。

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    《Economic Outlook》 |2012年第1期|p.51-67|共17页
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