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Empirical determination of aggregate demand and supply curves: The example of the RWI Business Cycle Model

机译:总需求曲线和供应曲线的经验确定:RWI商业周期模型的示例

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摘要

Macroeconometric models are often criticised for being too complex and difficult to read in theoretical terms. To overcome these difficulties, Hickman suggested the calculation of a model's implicit aggregate demand/ supply (AD/AS) structure. The method helps to understand models and their main properties in theoretical terms and facilitates detailed model comparisons. This paper uses the AD/AS-1S/LM apparatus to analyse the simulation properties of the RWI (Rheinisch-Westfalisches Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung) Business Cycle Model, a medium-sized short-term macroeconometric model for Germany. The results confirm theo retical expectations for AD and AS elasticities and reveal particular reactions linked to peculiar model speci fications such as an endogenous government sector. The results are also much in line with a previous study in a multi-country model context.
机译:宏观计量经济学模型经常因过于复杂且难以从理论上理解而受到批评。为了克服这些困难,希克曼建议对模型的隐式总需求/供给(AD / AS)结构进行计算。该方法有助于从理论上理解模型及其主要属性,并有助于进行详细的模型比较。本文使用AD / AS-1S / LM装置来分析RWI(德国莱茵威斯特法斯特大学Wirtschaftsforschung)商业周期模型的仿真属性,这是德国的一种中型短期宏观经济计量模型。结果证实了理论上对AD和AS弹性的期望,并揭示了与特殊模型规范(例如内生政府部门)相关的特定反应。该结果也与先前在多国模型环境中进行的研究非常吻合。

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