Modeling the Problem of Choosing an Optimal Strategy to Respond to Project Risks

摘要

The project risk management is a systematic process of identifying, analyzing and responding to project risks in order to maximize results of positive events and minimize consequences of bad and negative events that can affect main objectives of the project. In this process, the phase of risk response is a very important phase; because the effective- ness of responses directly determines increase or decrease of the project risk. Planning risk responses is the process of identifying different options and actions for reducing or eliminating threats and increasing or exploiting opportunities related to objectives of the project. Therefore, in this research, a systematic approach which is a combination of fuzzy multi-objective decision-making methods and zero-one integer programming model, is proposed to select the best solutions for responding to project risks. Also, since project risk management process has different stages, the stages before accountability phase include identifying and analyzing quality of the risks, and choosing critical risks is also done for accountability. Finally, in order to select the best solution for each of the critical risks, a zero-one multi- objective mathematical model is presented in a fuzzy environment and a case study is carried out on the Khangiran gas field (Shourijeh).