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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Statistical Software >qgam: Bayesian Nonparametric Quantile Regression Modeling in R
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qgam: Bayesian Nonparametric Quantile Regression Modeling in R

机译:QGAM:河口贝叶斯非参数分数回归建模

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摘要

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are flexible non-linear regression models, which can be fitted efficiently using the approximate Bayesian methods provided by the mgcv R package. While the GAM methods provided by mgcv are based on the assumption that the response distribution is modeled parametrically, here we discuss more flexible methods that do not entail any parametric assumption. In particular, this article introduces the qgam package, which is an extension of mgcv providing fast calibrated Bayesian methods for fitting quantile GAMs (QGAMs) in R. QGAMs are based on a smooth version of the pinball loss of Koenker (2005), rather than on a likelihood function, hence jointly achieving satisfactory accuracy of the quantile point estimates and coverage of the corresponding credible intervals requires adopting the specialized Bayesian fitting framework of Fasiolo, Wood, Zaffran, Nedellec, and Goude (2021b). Here we detail how this framework is implemented in qgam and we provide examples illustrating how the package should be used in practice.
机译:广义添加剂模型(GAMS)是柔性非线性回归模型,可以使用MGCV R包提供的近似贝叶斯方法有效地装配。虽然MGCV提供的GAM方法是基于参数建模的响应分布的假设,但在这里我们讨论了更灵活的方法,这些方法不需要参数化假设。特别是,本文介绍了QGAM封装,它是MGCV的延伸,为QGAMS提供了用于拟合量子游戏(QGAMS)的快速校准的贝叶斯方法,基于Koenker(2005)的波球丢失的平滑版本,而不是在似然函数上,联合实现了定量点估计的令人满意的准确性,并覆盖了相应的可靠间隔,需要采用Fasiolo,Wood,Zaffran,Nedellec和Goude(2021B)的专业贝叶斯拟合框架。在这里,我们详细介绍了该框架在QGAM中如何实现,我们提供了示例说明如何在实践中使用包装。

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