A new 7-gene survival score assay for pancreatic cancer patient prognosis prediction

摘要

Gene expression features that are valuable for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) prognosis are still largely unknown. We aimed to explore pivotal molecular signatures for PDAC progression and establish an efficient survival score to predict PDAC prognosis. Overall, 163 overlapping genes were identified from three statistical methods, including differentially expressed genes (DEGs), coexpression network analysis (WGCNA), and target genes for miRNAs that were significantly related to PDAC patients’ overall survival (OS). Then, according to the optimal value of the cross-validation curve (lambda = 0.031), 7 non-zero coefficients (ARNTL2, DSG3, PTPRR, ANLN, S100A14, ANKRD22, and TSPAN7) were selected to establish a prognostic prediction model of PDAC patients. We further confirmed the expression level of 7 genes using RT-PCR, western blot, and immunohistochemistry staining in PDAC patients’ tissues. Our results showed that the ROC curve of the 7-mRNA model indicated good predictive ability for 1- and 2-year OS in three datasets (TCGA: 0.71, 0.69; ICGC: 0.8, 0.74; GEO batch: 0.61, 0.7, respectively). The hazard ratio (HR) of the low-risk group had a similar significant result (TCGA: HR = 0.3723; ICGC: HR = 0.2813; GEO batch: HR = 0.4999; all P 0.001). Furthermore, Log-rank test results in three cohorts showed that the 7-mRNA assay excellently predicted the prognosis and metastasis, especially in TNM stage I&II subgroups of PDAC. In conclusion, the strong validation of our 7-mRNA signature indicates the promising effectiveness of its clinical application, especially in patients with TNM stages I&II.