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Exploring the dynamics of migration, armed conflict, urbanization, and anthropogenic change in Colombia

机译:探索哥伦比亚迁移,武装冲突,城市化和人为变化的动态

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Anthropogenic change has been associated with population growth, land use change, and changing economies. However, internal migration patterns and armed conflicts are also key drivers of anthropogenic and demographic processes. To better understand the processes associated with this change, we explore the spatial relationship between forced migration due to armed conflict and changing socioeconomic factors in Colombia, a country which has a recent history of 7 million internal migrants. In addition, we use remote sensing, Google Earth Engine, as well as spatial statistical analyses of demographic data in order to measure anthropogenic change between 1984 and 2013—a socio-politically important period in Colombia’s armed conflict. We also analyze spatiotemporal relationships between socioeconomic and anthropogenic changes, which are caused by forced migration. We found that forced migration is significantly and positively related to an increasing rural-urban type of migration which results from armed conflict. Results also show that it is negatively related to interregional displacement. Indeed, anthropogenic change pertaining to different regions have had different correlations with forced migration, and across different time periods. Findings are used to discuss how socioeconomic and political phenomena such as armed conflict can have complex effects on the dynamics of anthropogenic and ecological change as well as movement of humans in countries like Colombia.
机译:人为变化与人口增长,土地利用变化和变化经济有关。但是,内部移徙模式和武装冲突也是人为和人口过程的关键驱动因素。为了更好地了解与这种变化相关的过程,我们探讨了强制移民之间的空间关系,因为武装冲突和改变哥伦比亚的社会经济因素,这是一个近期历史700万个内部移民的国家。此外,我们使用遥感,谷歌地球发动机以及人口统计数据的空间统计分析,以测量1984年至2013年间的人为变化 - 哥伦比亚武装冲突的社会政治上重要时期。我们还分析了社会经济和人为变化之间的时空关系,这是由强制迁移引起的。我们发现强迫迁移与武装冲突产生的越来越多的农村城市迁移显着呈积极。结果还表明它与区域间位移负相关。实际上,与不同地区有关的人为变化与强制迁移具有不同的相关性,以及不同的时间段。调查结果用于讨论社会经济和政治现象(如武装冲突)如何对人为和生态变化的动态以及人类在哥伦比亚等国家的动态产生复杂影响。

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