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Research on Prediction of Investment Fund’s Performance before and after Investment Based on Improved Neural Network Algorithm

机译:基于改进神经网络算法的投资前后投资基金绩效预测研究

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There are more and more popular investment fund projects in the continuous economic development; the prediction and performance continuity become hot topics in the financial field. Scholars’ enthusiasm for this also reflects the domestic fund primary stage progress, and there is a huge application demand in China. The prediction of fund performance can help investors to avoid risks and improve returns and help managers to learn more unknown information from the prediction for the sake of guide market well and manage the market orderly. In the past research, the traditional way is to use the advantages of neural network to build a model to predict the continuous trend foundation performance, but the author found that the traditional single neural network (NN) algorithm has a large error value in the research. With the discussion, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is added to the radial basis function (BRF) neural network, and PSO is conditioned to optimize and improve the RBF NN combining the advantages of both sides; a new set of PSO-RBF neural network security fund performance prediction method is summed up, which optimizes the structure and workflow of the algorithm. In the research, the author takes the real data as the reference and compares the prediction results with the traditional method RBF and the improved PSO-RBF. In the prediction results of the continuous trend, the highest value, and the lowest value in the period of the security fund performance, the new PSO-RBF has a good prediction in the fund performance prediction, and its accuracy rate is greatly improved compared with the traditional method Sheng, with good application value, and is worth popularizing.
机译:在持续经济发展中有越来越多的流行投资基金项目;预测和性能连续性成为金融领域的热门话题。学者对此的热情也反映了国内基金的初级阶段进步,在中国施用巨大的应用需求。基金绩效的预测可以帮助投资者避免风险和改善回报,并帮助管理者从预测中学习更多未知信息,以便为导向市场良好并有序管理市场。在过去的研究中,传统的方式是利用神经网络的优势来构建模型来预测连续趋势基础性能,但作者发现传统的单个神经网络(NN)算法在研究中具有大的误差值。通过讨论,粒子群优化(PSO)算法被添加到径向基函数(BRF)神经网络中,并且PSO被调节以优化和改善结合两侧优点的RBF NN;概括了一组新的PSO-RBF神经网络安全基金绩效预测方法,从而优化了算法的结构和工作流程。在研究中,作者将实际数据作为参考,并将预测结果与传统方法RBF和改进的PSO-RBF进行比较。在连续趋势的预测结果中,最高值和安全基金表现期间的最低值,新的PSO-RBF在基金绩效预测方面具有良好的预测,其准确率与其大大提高传统方法盛,具有良好的应用价值,值得推感。

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