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A tractable framework for analyzing a class of nonstationary Markov models

机译:用于分析一类非营养马尔可夫模型的易旧框架

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We consider a class of infinite‐horizon dynamic Markov economic models in which the parameters of utility function, production function, and transition equations change over time. In such models, the optimal value and decision functions are time‐inhomogeneous: they depend not only on state but also on time. We propose a quantitative framework, calledextended function path (EFP), for calibrating, solving, simulating, and estimating such nonstationary Markov models. The EFP framework relies on the turnpike theorem which implies that the finite‐horizon solutions asymptotically converge to the infinite‐horizon solutions if the time horizon is sufficiently large. The EFP applications include unbalanced stochastic growth models, the entry into and exit from a monetary union, information news, anticipated policy regime switches, deterministic seasonals, among others. Examples of MATLAB code are provided.
机译:我们考虑一类无限的地平线动态马尔可夫经济模型,其中效用函数,生产函数和转换方程的参数随着时间的推移而变化。在这种模型中,最佳值和决策功能是时间不均匀的:它们不仅依赖于州,还依赖于时间。我们提出了一种定量框架,称为扩展功能路径(EFP),用于校准,解决,模拟和估算此类非标准Markov模型。 EFP框架依赖于特性定理,意味着如果时间范围足够大,则暗示渐近地层渐近地融合到无限范围解决方案。 EFP应用包括不平衡随机增长模型,进入和退出货币联盟,信息新闻,预期的政策制度交换机,确定性调味料等。提供了MATLAB代码的示例。

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