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Grey Situation Group Decision-Making Method Based on Prospect Theory

机译:基于前景理论的灰色局面集团决策方法

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摘要

This paper puts forward a grey situation group decision-making method on the basis of prospect theory, in view of the grey situation group decision-making problems that decisions are often made by multiple decision experts and those experts have risk preferences. The method takes the positive and negative ideal situation distance as reference points, defines positive and negative prospect value function, and introduces decision experts’ risk preference into grey situation decision-making to make the final decision be more in line with decision experts’ psychological behavior. Based on TOPSIS method, this paper determines the weight of each decision expert, sets up comprehensive prospect value matrix for decision experts’ evaluation, and finally determines the optimal situation. At last, this paper verifies the effectiveness and feasibility of the method by means of a specific example.
机译:本文提出了一个灰色局势集团决策方法,鉴于灰色的局面集团决策问题,决策通常由多个决定专家和这些专家有风险偏好。该方法采用正面和负面的理想情况距离作为参考点,定义正面和负面的前景价值函数,并将决策专家的风险偏好引入灰色局势决策,以使最终决策更加符合决策专家的心理行为。基于TOPSIS方法,本文确定了每个决策专家的重量,为决策专家评估建立了全面的前景价值矩阵,最后确定了最佳情况。最后,本文通过具体示例来验证方法的有效性和可行性。

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