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Bitcoin pricing: impact of attractiveness variables

机译:比特币定价:吸引力变量的影响

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The research seeks to contribute to Bitcoin pricing analysis based on the dynamics between variables of attractiveness and the value of the digital currency. Using the error correction model, the relationship between the price of the virtual currency, Bitcoin, and the number of Google searches that used the terms bitcoin , bitcoin crash and crisis between December 2012 and February 2018 is analyzed. The study also applied the same analysis to prices of Bitcoin denominated in different sovereign currencies traded during the same period. The Johansen (J Econ Dyn Control 12:231-254, 1988) test demonstrates that the price and number of searches on Google for the first two terms are cointegrated. This research indicates that there are strong short-term and long-term dynamics among attractiveness factors, suggesting that an increase in worldwide interest in Bitcoin is usually preceded by a price increase. In contrast, an increase in market mistrust over a collapse of the currency, as measured by the term bitcoin crash , is followed by a fall in price. Intense world economic crisis events appear to have a strong impact on interest in the virtual currency. This study demonstrates that during a worldwide crisis Bitcoin becomes an alternative investment, increasing its price. Based on it, bitcoin may be used as a safe haven by the financial market and its intrinsic characteristics might help the investors and governments to find new mechanisms to deal with monetary transactions.
机译:该研究旨在基于吸引力变量与数字货币价值之间的动态来促进比特币定价分析。使用纠错模型,分析了虚拟货币价格之间的关系,比特币和2012年12月之间的术语比特币,比特币崩溃和危机的谷歌搜索数量之间的关系。该研究还对同期交易的不同主权货币计价的比特币价格相同的分析。 Johansen(J ECON DYN控制器12:231-254,1988)测试表明,谷歌上的搜索数量为前两项术语的价格和数量是共同化的。该研究表明,吸引力因素中存在强大的短期和长期动态,这表明全球对比特币的兴趣增加通常在价格上涨之前。相比之下,按比特币崩溃衡量的货币崩溃的市场不信任的增加之后是价格下降。激烈的世界经济危机事件似乎对虚拟货币的利益产生了强烈影响。本研究表明,在全球危机中,比特币成为替代投资,增加其价格。基于它,比特币可以作为金融市场的安全避风港,其内在特征可能有助于投资者和政府找到处理货币交易的新机制。

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