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Performance evaluation of the CHIRPS precipitation dataset and its utility in drought monitoring over Yunnan Province, China

机译:云南省云南省干旱监测中啁啾降水数据集的绩效评价及其效用

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This study evaluated the performance and utility of the Climate Hazard Group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) dataset for monitoring drought over Yunnan Province, China. First, several statistical metrics were used to evaluate the CHIRPS data against 122 gauge observations acquired during 1981–2015. Then, the variation of drought was investigated further based on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) over multiple timescales. The results showed the following: (1) the CHIRPS data performed well in terms of monthly precipitation estimation ( CC =?0.89, RMSE =?44.26, and MAE =?27.89), albeit with slight overestimation of total precipitation ( Bias =?2.9%). Moreover, the CHIRPS data were found adequate in capturing the spatial distribution of precipitation. (2) The CHIRPS-based SPI was shown to be able to capture the occurrence and characteristics of drought events, suggesting that the CHIRPS dataset could be used as an alternative precipitation source for monitoring drought. (3) On the annual scale, it was found that the regions affected most frequently by drought are areas in central, western, and southern parts of Yunnan Province. High frequency of drought occurrence was observed in both spring and winter. Moreover, the results revealed a widespread drying trend over Yunnan Province during 1981–2015, especially in autumn and winter.
机译:本研究评估了气候危险组红外降水与站(Chirps)数据集进行了气候危险组红外降水的性能和效用,用于监测云南省云南省的干旱。首先,用于评估在1981 - 2015年期间获得的122个仪表观测的啁啾数据。然后,基于多个时间尺度的标准化沉淀指数(SPI)进一步研究干旱的变化。结果表明以下:(1)啁啾数据在月度降水估计(CC = 0.89,RMSE = 44.26和MAE = 27.89)方面表现良好,尽管略微高估了总降水量(偏见=?2.9 %)。此外,发现啁啾数据足以捕获降水的空间分布。 (2)基于啁啾的SPI被证明能够捕捉干旱事件的发生和特征,表明啁啾数据集可用作监测干旱的替代降水源。 (3)在年度规模上,发现该地区受到干旱影响最常是云南省中部,西部和南部地区的地区。在春天和冬天,观察到高频率发生干旱发生。此外,结果显示了1981 - 2015年云南省的广泛干燥趋势,特别是在秋季和冬季。

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