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Prediction of Stock Market Index Using Neural Networks: An Empirical Study of BSE

机译:利用神经网络预测股票市场指数:BSE的实证研究

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Predicting stock data with traditional time series analysis has become one popular research issue. An artificial neural network may be more suitable for the task, because no assumption about a suitable mathematical model has to be made prior to forecasting. Furthermore, a neural network has the ability to extract useful information from large sets of data, which often is required for a satisfying description of a financial time series. Subsequently an Error Correction Network is defined and implemented for an empirical study. Technical as well as fundamental data are used as input to the network. One-step returns of the BSE stock index and two major stocks of the BSE are predicted using two separate network structures. Daily predictions are performed on a standard Error Correction Network whereas an extension of the Error Correction Network is used for weekly predictions. The results on the stocks are less convincing; nevertheless the network outperforms the naive strategy.
机译:预测具有传统时间序列分析的股票数据已成为一个流行的研究问题。人工神经网络可能更适合于任务,因为必须在预测之前没有对合适的数学模型进行假设。此外,神经网络具有从大集数据中提取有用信息的能力,这通常需要满足财务时间序列的描述。随后为实证研究定义和实现纠错网络。技术以及基本数据用作网络的输入。使用两个单独的网络结构预测BSE股票指数的一步回报和BSE的两个主要股票。在标准纠错网络上执行日常预测,而纠错网络的扩展用于每周预测。股票的结果不太令人信服;然而,网络优于天真的策略。

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