Singapore Success: New Model Helps Forecast Dengue Outbreaks

摘要

T he island city-state of Singapore reported a record 2,441 cases of dengue fever in January 2016, ¹ triggered by all-time-high temperatures in the preceding weeks. ^{2 , 3} Singapore is a potential hotbed for the widespread disease thanks to its tropical climate and highly urbanized environment. But it’s also a leader in mitigating the spread of dengue virus through an advanced mosquito control program, ⁴ aided in the past 3 years by a sophisticated model to forecast dengue outbreaks. ⁵