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Detecting spatial and temporal house price diffusion in the Netherlands

机译:探测荷兰的空间和颞房价扩散

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Following the 2007-08 Global Financial Crisis, there have been a growing research interest on the spatial interrelationships between house prices in many countries. This paper examines the spatio-temporal relationship between house prices in the twelve provinces of the Netherlands using a recently proposed econometric modelling technique called Bayesian graphical vector autoregression (BG-VAR). This network approach enables a data driven identification of the most dominant provinces where house price shocks may largely diffuse through the housing market and it is suitable for analysing the complex spatial interactions between house prices. Using temporal house price volatilities for owner-occupied dwellings, the results show evidence of house price diffusion pattern in distinct sub-periods from different provincial housing sub-markets in the Netherlands. We observed particularly prior to the crisis, diffusion of temporal house price volatilities from Noord-Holland.
机译:在2007 - 08年全球金融危机之后,在许多国家之间的房价之间存在日益增长的空间相互关系的研究兴趣。本文使用最近提出的经济学建模技术探讨了荷兰十二个省份的房价之间的时空关系,称为贝叶斯图形矢量归入(BG-VAR)。该网络方法使得数据驱动的识别最多的省份的占有率震荡可能主要通过住房市场扩散,并且适用于分析房价之间的复杂空间相互作用。使用占空房屋价格波动,结果显示了荷兰不同省级住房子市场的不同亚阶层的房价扩散模式的证据。我们特别在危机之前观察到,从Noord-Holland扩散了暂时的房屋价格变量。

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