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Associated Credit Risk Contagion with Incubatory Period: A Network-Based Perspective

机译:与孵化期相关的信用风险传染:基于网络的视角

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Associated credit risk is a kind of credit risk among the associated credit entities formed by credit-related entities. Focusing on this hot topic of associated credit risk and the relevant contagion and considering the latent entities and their incubatory period, this paper builds an infectious dynamic model to describe the associated credit risk contagion of associated credit entities based on the mean-field theory of complex networks. Firstly, this paper analyzes the stable state of the associated credit risk contagion in the associated entity network, considering the latent entities and their incubatory period. Secondly, from the perspective of complex network and considering the incubatory period, a SHIS model is built to reveal how the incubatory period influences associated credit risk contagion. Finally, the sensitivity of some parameters is analyzed in the Barabási–Albert (BA) scale-free network. The results show the following: (i) the contagion threshold of associated credit risk is related to the incubatory period of latent entities, the recovery rate and infectivity of infected entities, and the newborn rate of credit entities; (ii) the infectious rate of infected entities, the mortality rate of credit entities, and the important factors stated in (i) are all significantly correlated with the density of infected entities.
机译:相关的信贷风险是信用相关实体组成的相关信贷实体之间的一种信用风险。专注于相关信用风险的热门话题和相关的传染,并考虑潜在实体及其孵化期,本文建立了一种传染性动态模型,以描述基于复杂的平均场地理论的相关信贷实体的相关信用风险传染网络。首先,考虑到潜在实体及其孵化期,本文分析了相关实体网络中相关信用风险传染率的稳定状态。其次,从复杂网络的角度来看,考虑到孵化期,建立了SHIS模型,以揭示孵化期如何影响相关的信用风险传染。最后,在Barabási-albert(BA)无垢网络中分析了一些参数的敏感性。结果表明:(i)相关信用风险的传感阈值与受感染实体的潜伏期,回收率和感染性以及新生儿的信贷实体税率有关; (ii)感染实体的传染率,信贷实体的死亡率,以及(i)所述的重要因素与受感染实体的密度大大相关。

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