The influence of climatic conditions on hospital admissions for asthma in children and adolescents living in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

摘要

Limited research exists on the influence of climatic conditions on the risk of hospital admission for asthma in Minas Gerais, Brazil. The objectives of this article are: a) to evaluate the influence of climatic conditions on hospital admissions for asthma and lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) among children and adolescents living in Belo Horizonte during the period 2002 to 2012 and identify epidemic peaks of admissions for asthma; b) to compare local seasonal patterns of admissions for asthma and LRTIs. Using hospital admission data stratified by aged group, regression analysis was performed to determine the relationship between the variables. Epidemic peaks were identified using an ARIMA model. There was an increase in admissions for asthma with an increase in relative humidity after rainy periods; admissions for bronchiolitis were associated with low levels of maximum temperature and rainfall. Rainy periods can lead to an increase in indoor and outdoor humidity, facilitating fungal proliferation, while cold periods can lead to an increase in the spread of viruses.