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Wintertime grassland dynamics may influence belowground biomass under climate change: a model analysis

机译:冬季草原动力学可能会影响气候变化下游生物量:模型分析

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摘要

Rising temperatures and changes in snow cover, as can be expected under a warmer global climate, may have large impacts on mountain grassland productivity limited by cold and long winters. Here, we combined two existing models, the multi-layer atmosphere-SOiL-VEGetation model (SOLVEG) and the BASic GRAssland model (BASGRA), which accounts for snow, freeze–thaw events, grass growth, and soil carbon balance. The model was applied to simulate the responses of managed grasslands to anomalously warm winter conditions. The grass growth module considered key ecological processes under a cold environment, such as leaf formation, elongation and death, tillering, carbon allocation, and cold acclimation, in terms of photosynthetic activity. Input parameters were derived for two pre-Alpine grassland sites in Germany, for which the model was run using 3 years of data that included a winter with an exceptionally small amount of snow. The model reproduced the temporal variability of observed daily mean heat fluxes, soil temperatures, and snow depth throughout the study period. High physiological activity levels during the extremely warm winter led to a simulated CO2 uptake of 100 gC m?2, which was mainly allocated into the belowground biomass and only to a minor extent used for additional plant growth during early spring. If these temporary dynamics are representative of long-term changes, this process, which is so far largely unaccounted for in scenario analysis using global terrestrial biosphere models, may lead to carbon accumulation in the soil and/or carbon loss from the soil as a response to global warming.
机译:在全球气候温暖的温暖的温暖的温度和雪覆盖的温度和变化可能会对寒冷和长冬季的山地草生产率产生很大影响。在这里,我们组合了两种现有模型,多层大气 - 植被模型(Solveg)和基础草地模型(基础),其占雪,冻融事件,草生长和土壤碳平衡。该模型应用于模拟管理草原对异常温暖冬季条件的响应。基于光合活动的叶片形成,伸长和死亡,分蘖,碳分配,碳分配,碳分配,碳分配,碳分配,碳分配,碳分配,碳分配,碳分配和冷置,以及冷适应。在德国的两个高山草地网站导出输入参数,其中模型使用3年的数据运行,其中包括一个冬季的冬季雪。该模型在整个研究期间复制了观测日常平均热量,土壤温度和雪深的时间变异性。极度温暖的冬季期间的高生理活性水平导致了100GC M?2的模拟CO2吸收,其主要分配到下面的生物量,并且仅在早春期间用于额外的植物生长的较小程度。如果这些临时动态代表长期变化,这一过程将在很大程度上未下一步使用全球陆地生物圈模型的情景分析,可能导致土壤中的碳积累和/或从土壤中的碳损失作为反应全球变暖。

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