Relationship between service trade and economic growth empirical research in Shanghai

摘要

This article uses the quantitative analysis method, studying the relation between economic growth and trade in services in Shanghai. First calculate contribution and pull degree index of the Yangtze river delta economic zone three major provinces and cities to quantitative analysis of the role of service trade on economic growth, found that service trade plays an important role in promoting economic growth. Then using the econometric model empirical study on relationship between service trade and economic growth, found that Shanghai's trade in services have two-way granger causality between GDP growth, and long-term equilibrium and short-term deviation to long-term equilibrium regression trend, namely the virtuous circle between service trade and economic growth mutually promote mechanism.