首页> 外文期刊>Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences >A Survey-Based Probabilistic Statistical Approach for Characterizing Drivers’ Negative Behaviors
【24h】

A Survey-Based Probabilistic Statistical Approach for Characterizing Drivers’ Negative Behaviors

机译:基于调查的概率统计方法来表征驾驶员的负面行为

获取原文
           

摘要

This paper aims at characterizing the behavioral issues of road users of relevance to traffic safety in the UAE. A stated preference driver survey was used for data collection. Statistical analyses were conducted to identify the most common types of violations particularly associated with negative behavioral forms, and associate these behavioral forms to probable causes. A probabilistic analysis approach was adopted based on the results of statistical cross classification to identify the probabilities (penetration rate among the overall drivers population) of the frequent violators and the most common negative behavior forms. A step further was accomplished by estimating the joint probabilities combining more than one behavioral form. This is particularly important in identifying the joint negative forms of significant threat to the society, and quantifying their magnitudes. Results identified speeding, use of mobile phones, not using seat belts, and not giving priority to pedestrians as most alarming violations. The joint probabilities were used to estimate particular threatening behaviors such as speeding combined with drugs and alcohol, or combined with use of mobile phones while driving, etc. Statistical Chi-Square tests were also conducted to estimate the strength of relation among the violations and their causes. Results indicated a strong association between speeding and being in hurry on good roadway conditions. Cross relationships were thoroughly investigated allowing for violation-cause studies as well as behavioral form-violations studies. The probabilistic approach together with the statistical Chi-square tests were used to identify critical behavioral issues of immediate intervention needs, to quantify their penetration levels (magnitude) in the society, and as such were used to develop a coherent set of recommendations to remedy such critical behavioral forms.
机译:本文旨在描述与阿联酋交通安全相关的道路使用者的行为问题。陈述的偏好驾驶员调查用于数据收集。进行了统计分析,以确定最常见的违规类型,尤其是与负面行为形式相关的违规行为,并将这些行为形式与可能的原因相关联。基于统计交叉分类的结果,采用了一种概率分析方法来确定频繁违规者和最常见的负面行为形式的概率(总体驾驶员人群中的渗透率)。通过估计结合了不止一种行为形式的联合概率,可以进一步实现这一目标。这对于确定对社会构成重大威胁的联合消极形式并量化其严重程度尤其重要。结果表明,超速驾驶,使用手机,不使用安全带以及不优先考虑行人是最令人震惊的违法行为。联合概率用于估计特定的威胁行为,例如与毒品和酒精一起超速行驶或在开车时与使用移动电话相结合等。还进行了统计卡方检验,以估计违规行为与违规行为之间的关系强度。原因。结果表明,在良好的道路条件下,超速驾驶和急促之间有很强的联系。对交叉关系进行了彻底调查,以进行违规原因研究和行为形式违规研究。概率方法与统计卡方检验一起被用来识别紧急干预需求的关键行为问题,量化其在社会中的渗透水平(幅度),并因此被用来制定一套连贯的建议来补救此类问题。关键的行为形式。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号