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A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility

机译:随机加速步行者的随机模型

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Recent studies of human mobility largely focus on displacements patterns and power law fits of empirical long-tailed distributions of distances are usually associated to scale-free superdiffusive random walks called Lévy flights. However, drawing conclusions about a complex system from a fit, without any further knowledge of the underlying dynamics, might lead to erroneous interpretations. Here we show, on the basis of a data set describing the trajectories of 780,000 private vehicles in Italy, that the Lévy flight model cannot explain the behaviour of travel times and speeds. We therefore introduce a class of accelerated random walks, validated by empirical observations, where the velocity changes due to acceleration kicks at random times. Combining this mechanism with an exponentially decaying distribution of travel times leads to a short-tailed distribution of distances which could indeed be mistaken with a truncated power law. These results illustrate the limits of purely descriptive models and provide a mechanistic view of mobility.
机译:最近关于人类流动性的研究主要集中在位移模式上,距离的经验长尾分布的幂律拟合通常与称为Lévy飞行的无标度超扩散随机游走有关。但是,如果从拟合中得出有关复杂系统的结论,而没有任何进一步的潜在动力学知识,则可能导致错误的解释。在此,根据描述意大利780,000辆私家车轨迹的数据集,我们可以看出,Lévy飞行模型无法解释行进时间和速度的行为。因此,我们引入了一类经经验观察证实的加速随机行走,其中速度由于随机时间的加速踢而改变。将此机制与行程时间的指数衰减结合起来,会导致距离的短尾分布,而这实际上可能被截断的幂律所误解。这些结果说明了纯描述性模型的局限性,并提供了流动性的机械视图。

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