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Modeling the Overalternating Bias with an Asymmetric Entropy Measure

机译:使用非对称熵测度对过度替代偏差建模

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Psychological research has found that human perception of randomness is biased. In particular, people consistently show the overalternating bias: they rate binary sequences of symbols (such as Heads and Tails in coin flipping) with an excess of alternation as more random than prescribed by the normative criteria of Shannon's entropy. Within data mining for medical applications, Marcellin proposed an asymmetric measure of entropy that can be ideal to account for such bias and to quantify subjective randomness. We fitted Marcellin's entropy and Renyi's entropy (a generalized form of uncertainty measure comprising many different kinds of entropies) to experimental data found in the literature with the Differential Evolution algorithm. We observed a better fit for Marcellin's entropy compared to Renyi's entropy. The fitted asymmetric entropy measure also showed good predictive properties when applied to different datasets of randomness-related tasks. We concluded that Marcellin's entropy can be a parsimonious and effective measure of subjective randomness that can be useful in psychological research about randomness perception.
机译:心理学研究发现,人类对随机性的看法是有偏见的。特别是,人们始终表现出过度交替的偏见:他们对符号的二进制序列(例如硬币翻转中的头和尾巴)进行评级,其随机性比Shannon熵的规范标准所规定的随机性高。在医疗应用的数据挖掘中,Marcellin提出了一种熵的不对称度量,可以理想地解决这种偏差并量化主观随机性。我们使用差分演化算法将Marcellin的熵和Renyi的熵(包括许多不同种类的熵的不确定性度量的广义形式)拟合到文献中找到的实验数据。与仁义的熵相比,我们观察到了更适合Marcellin的熵。拟合的非对称熵测度在应用于与随机性有关的任务的不同数据集时也显示出良好的预测特性。我们得出的结论是,Marcellin的熵可以作为主观随机性的一种简单有效的量度,可用于有关随机性感知的心理学研究。

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