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Descriptive characterization of the 2010 cholera outbreak in Nigeria

机译:尼日利亚2010年霍乱爆发的描述性特征

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Background In 2010, 18 States of Nigeria reported cholera outbreaks with a total of 41,787 cases including 1,716 deaths (case-fatality rate [CFR]: 4.1%). This exceeded the mean overall CFR of 2.4% reported in Africa from 2000–2005 and the WHO acceptable rate of 1%. We conducted a descriptive analysis of the 2010 cholera outbreak to determine its epidemiological and spatio-temporal characteristics. Methods We conducted retrospective analysis of line lists obtained from 10 of the 18 states that submitted line lists to the Federal Ministry of Health (FMOH). We described the outbreak by time, place and person and calculated the attack rates by state as well as the age- and sex-specific CFR from cholera cases for whom information on age, sex, place of residence, onset of symptoms and outcome were available. Results A total of 21,111 cases were reported with an overall attack rate and CFR of 47.8 cases /100,000 population and 5.1%, respectively. The CFR ranged in the states between 3.8% and 8.9%. The age-specific CFR was highest among individuals 65?years and above (14.6%). The epidemiological curve showed three peaks with increasing number of weekly reported cases. A geographical clustering of LGAs reporting cholera cases could be seen in all ten states. During the third peak which coincided with flooding in five states the majority of newly affected LGAs were situated next to LGAs with previously reported cholera cases, only few isolated outbreaks were seen. Conclusion Our study showed a cholera outbreak that grew in magnitude and spread to involve the whole northern part of the country. It also highlights challenges of suboptimal surveillance and response in developing countries as well as potential endemicity of cholera in the northern part of Nigeria. There is the need for a harmonized, coordinated approach to cholera outbreaks through effective surveillance and response with emphasis on training and motivating front line health workers towards timely detection, reporting and response. Findings from the report should be interpreted with caution due to the high number of cases with incomplete information, and lack of data from eight states.
机译:背景资料2010年,尼日利亚的18个州报告了霍乱暴发,总数为41,787例,包括1,716例死亡(病死率:4.1%)。这超过了2000年至2005年非洲报告的平均总病死率2.4%和WHO可接受的1%比率。我们对2010年霍乱疫情进行了描述性分析,以确定其流行病学和时空特征。方法我们对从18个向联邦卫生部(FMOH)提交了行清单的州中的10个行清单进行了回顾性分析。我们按时间,地点和人员描述了暴发,并根据可获得的年龄,性别,居住地,症状发作和结局信息的霍乱病例按州以及按年龄和性别分类的病死率来计算发作率。结果共报告21,111例,总发作率和CFR为47.8例/ 100,000人口和5.1%。各州的病死率介于3.8%和8.9%之间。在65岁及以上的人群中,年龄特定的病死率最高(14.6%)。流行病学曲线显示三个高峰,每周报告病例数增加。在所有十个州中都可以看到报告了霍乱病例的LGAs的地理分布。在五个州发生洪灾的第三个高峰期,大多数新受影响的LGAs都位于以前报告霍乱病例的LGA旁边,只有很少的孤立暴发。结论我们的研究表明霍乱爆发的规模不断扩大,并蔓延到整个北部地区。它还强调了发展中国家监测和应对工作欠佳的挑战以及尼日利亚北部霍乱的潜在流行性。需要通过有效的监测和应对措施,以统一,协调的方式应对霍乱的爆发,重点是培训和激励一线卫生工作者及时发现,报告和应对。报告的发现应谨慎解释,因为大量案件的信息不完整,并且缺乏来自八个州的数据。

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