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The Value of Corporate Reputation in the Bankruptcy Risk

机译:企业声誉在破产风险中的价值

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In recent years CR has been considered by experts as one of the most important intangibles assets for sustainability of the companies. Existing literature designates several positive aspects of a good CR, highlighting that companies with better CR have superior financial performance. In this sense, some recent researches, conclude that a good CR decreases the risk for companies, focusing on the relation between CR and the variability of returns over a period of time. Nevertheless, as far as we know, there are no studies analyzing the relation between CR and bankruptcy risk, what it is an important component of the unsystematic risk, and an aim element in Strategic Management. This is why the aim of this paper is to show, based on empirical evidence, that a good CR helps companies to minimize bankruptcy risk. To answer this research question, a sample of Spanish companies in the Share Market between 2008 and 2012 has been used, and an algorithm based on Generalized Regression Neural Networks (GRNN). Results shown that a good CR is positively related to a lower bankruptcy risk, and those models built with GRNN are more robust than those others based on traditional statistical techniques, like Multi-Linear Regression models.
机译:近年来,CR被专家认为是对公司可持续发展最重要的无形资产之一。现有文献指定了良好CR的几个积极方面,突显了具有更好CR的公司具有出色的财务业绩。从这个意义上讲,最近的一些研究得出的结论是,良好的信用风险降低了公司的风险,重点是信用风险与一段时间内收益率变化之间的关系。然而,据我们所知,尚无研究分析CR与破产风险之间的关系,它是非系统性风险的重要组成部分以及战略管理中的目标要素。这就是为什么本文的目的是基于经验证据表明,良好的信用评级可以帮助公司最大程度地降低破产风险。为了回答这个研究问题,我们使用了2008年至2012年间股票市场中的西班牙公司样本,并使用了基于广义回归神经网络(GRNN)的算法。结果表明,良好的CR与较低的破产风险呈正相关,并且使用GRNN构建的模型比基于传统统计技术的模型(如多线性回归模型)更强大。

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