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Research into the Long-Run Relationship between Logistics Development and Economic Growth in Turkey

机译:土耳其物流发展与经济增长的长期关系研究

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In this study, the long term relationship between economic growth and developments in the logistics sector are investigated. The basis of an econometric model, the relationship between logistics development and economic growth are established. The findings derived from analysis are annotated. Following methods are used in the analysis: Unit Root Tests, Engle-Granger Cointegration test and Granger Causality test. Two variables including GDP (represent to economic growth) and Turnover Index of Transportation and Storage (represent to logistic development) are used in this study. Through the analysis findings show that two variables are cointegrated. And in long run a Granger causality relation from economic growth to logistic development found. So it can be said that economic growth plays active role on the logistics development. Consequently, a Granger causality relation from logistics sector and economic growth is found in long run.
机译:在这项研究中,研究了经济增长与物流业发展之间的长期关系。建立了计量经济学模型的基础,建立了物流发展与经济增长之间的关系。分析得出的结果将带有注释。分析中使用以下方法:单位根检验,Engle-Granger协整检验和Granger因果检验。本研究使用了两个变量,包括GDP(代表经济增长)和运输和仓储周转指数(代表物流发展)。通过分析发现,两个变量是协整的。从长远来看,发现了从经济增长到物流发展的格兰杰因果关系。可以说,经济增长在物流发展中起着积极的作用。因此,从长期来看,物流部门与经济增长之间存在格兰杰因果关系。

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